CNBC’s Dennis Kneale

Posted by Ray on June 30, 2009 under cnbc, Main | Read the First Comment


Well as expected Dennis Kneale lived up to expectations tonight. We knew he would not let me get a word in edge wise, but it was worth a shot. This how our mighty media has turned out, just a bunch of loud mouthed buffoons who have opinions versus serving the public by delivering actual facts. However, in all fairness, we did call him, rightfully so, a super dip shit, but if I were childish I would now say he is a super duper dip shit.

He started out with the usual name calling I believe something to the “blogging from your mothers basement” or some other nonsense along with other name calling. Here is the kicker, he has blogged, still does as far as I know, and CNBC is FULL of blogs, but he slammed all bloggers when, in fact, we are simply commentators kind of like him, but he calls himself a journalist.

He gave me about 15 seconds to make our case, real professional Dennis, in order to rebut his “the recession is over” nonsense. His pieces of data are cherry picked and right in their seasonally high points of the year, but he would hear nothing of it. He is stead fast in his idiotic quest to be the most wrong person on CNBC in years, well at least since Dan Dorfman (spelling?). So my question is how are you going to spin it when you are proved wrong, yet again?

The facts do not lie; this is a credit problem which means credit is drying up, not expanding. Unemployment, during a credit crisis is a leading indicator, not a lagging indicator like he thinks it is. Everyone from the World Bank to the IMF have reported the opposite of what he is saying, does that stop him? Not a chance.
He quotes the durable goods indicator, but ignores housings pretty bad report today. He quotes consumer sentiment when news hit that confidence dropped today. Unemployment is horrendous, yet he is clueless about it. Dennis, this is commentating, not picking, just letting you know before you cry about being picked on by high school girls.

The facts are right there in front of you Dennis and one would think with all of the talent at CNBC you would try to obtain some real facts. The really funny thing is that you actually think you are being helpful to people when you are not. You say name calling is bad, but that’s all you do. You run over your guests like a semi and never let descent into your studio, but that is the norm for the new media who is more interested in hearing their own voice and spreading gossip about Michael Jackson or Britney versus what is really going on in the world. You were a cheerleader for financials before they lost 60% of their value, unfortunately I cannot think of much you have been right about.

Do you even know that California is issuing IOU’s and was downgraded? Do you care? I doubt it because it does not fit into your neat little box of “everything is great” mentality. Now, I could take the high ground, but why bother, Zero Hedge was nice to you, but for what I do not know after the remarks you said about them. It is also clear that you do not read their stuff, I am not sure if you would even understand it, but if you did you would see the great perspective they have and the knowledge is spot on.

I am not really sure how you go from being a technology editor to a stock market guru, but I seriously think that CNBC needs to rethink giving you your own show. Its nothing personal Dennis, but people need a place to turn in turmoil to get real info, not made up BS that is merely your opinion. You are commentating about people’s money, don’t you understand that? Every bad call you make could cost someone a lot of money.
However, I will give you credit for calling Obama out on his policies, but I am not sure if that is pandering to your audience or if you truly believe what you are saying. I can say nice things about you, but damn you are just so abrasive, at best, but let me give it a shot, “Nice glasses”??

Anytime you want to really debate, let me know and I will be there. Otherwise I would like to say thanks for letting me on tonight. One last thing, I am able to admit things IF I am wrong, but will you?
Here is a recap and some quotes from Dennis and my rebuttals:

Issue with Dennis Kneale-
1. Bad style – shouting over others, insulting others,
2. bad content – calling the recovery when it is clearly getting worse
3. bad journalistic balance – even the recent Peter Flaherty – that’s the best you can do to represent “Capitalism”?

Dennis Kneale Quote:
“I’ve said it before, let’s put it on T-shirts: Capitalism is optimism monetized. As I put it in my “Parting Shot” on CNBC Reports on Friday night, hope is the magical elixir of capitalism.”

My Response ->
Capitalism is not about hope, politicians use “hope” to sell their anti-business projects.
Capitalism is about prioritizing production and protecting legitimate property rights so people can prioritize produciton.
Today, with the chaos in government and the meltdown of the credit and banking system, there is no confidence in the ability of owners to escape rising taxes, regulations, and other means of thwarting their satisfaction of consumer desires.

Beige book “good news” (anything but – just sugarcoating bad news):
“Economic conditions in New Mexico and six neighboring states declined at a slower pace in April and May than in previous months of the recession, and businesses have “firmer expectations of improvement going forward,” the U.S. Federal Reserve reported Wednesday in its latest “Beige Book” survey of the region’s business executives.

“Consumer spending in the region was weak and is expected to remain soft, the closely watched survey said, but “an uptick in manufacturing orders helped stabilize expectations for future production.”
“The Beige Book also said that “commercial real estate market conditions deteriorated and energy activity declined further.”

Dennis Kneale Quote:
“Once we start to feel the risk of layoffs has passed, we will start spending more—consumers and companies alike. I reject the doomsday proclamations that the consumer psyche has been altered permanently; we want what we want.”

My response ->
Germany, Japan, China exports have been continuing to free-fall – exports to US Consumers, who are NOT BUYING.

Other useful links from where we gathered some info in hopes of getting a word in between useless rants:

Wednesday, June 10, 2009 | Modified: Thursday, June 11, 2009
Beige Book: Region’s economic declines slowing

http://www.bizjournals.com/albuquerque/stories/2009/06/08/daily50.html

Kneale: The Great Recession is Over!
June 29, 2009:

http://www.cnbc.com/id/31614470

US Stocks Higher After Strong Durable Goods Orders
June 24, 2009

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20090624-707910.html

Stocks slide on dip in consumer confidence
June 30, 2009

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5jmT59dgLTTziX4p9X9MRBRpWZGdQD9957DIO0

Jun 30, 2009, 10:43 a.m. EST
U.S. home prices down in April: Case-Shiller

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-home-prices-down-in-april-case-shiller

May San Diego Home Sales Increase Revised From 89% to 6.5%
Tue, 06/30/2009

http://www.zerohedge.com/node/11787

Delinquencies Double on Least-Risky Loans, U.S. Says
June 30, 2009

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aZaaKZlwiKFE

Jun 30, 2009, 10:33 a.m. EST
Consumer confidence falls on gloomier jobs view

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-confidence-falls-on-gloomier-jobs-view-2009630101600

June 30, 2009
Peer-to-peer lending is flourishing amid the credit crisis

http://www.sacbee.com/business/story/1987864.html

Turnaround Pros: Lid on Credit Still Tight
By: PR Newswire | 23 Jun 2009 | 10:58 AM ET

http://www.cnbc.com/id/31506372/

Unemployment rate at either 16% or 20%, depending on the stat used:

http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data

[caption id="attachment_264" align="alignnone" width="500" caption="Real unemployment numbers"]Real unemployment numbers[/caption] Annuity Blog FeedSubscribe to Annuity IQ's Feed
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CNBC Reports Tonight

Posted by Ray on under Main | Read the First Comment

Well, who would have thought that we would be invited to go onto Dennis Kneale show tonight. At first we thought it was a joke, but apparently it is not and his producer really wanted me on.

We have a sneaking suspicion that it had something to do with calling him, um, well a super dip shit. We do appreciate his energy and optimism, but there is a significant difference between being optimistic and being completely wrong.

We hope it will be a productive dialog, but past history suggests that it might just be a screaming match or worse just him trying to slap me. Either way the facts are on our side. Let you know how it all pans out!

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AIG: More Credit Default Swap Trouble

Posted by Ray on under Main | Be the First to Comment

It appears that AIG has more credit default swap, CDS, trouble ahead. According to Bloomberg the firm has exposure to $192 Billion worth of European bank CDS which may prove to be a problem. This is a material problem because, according to Bloomberg and AIG statements, the valuation declines on credit-default swaps sold to European banks could have a “material adverse effect” on the company’s results. We all know what happened last fall with these things, but it is unclear what could happen this year.

Unfortunately, this plays into our estimates of a severe downturn in equities beginning now and lasting to the end of the year. However, the firm did say that, “The insurer said it doesn’t expect it will have to make payments under contractual agreements tied to the regulatory relief swaps. Most of the swaps will be terminated over the next 12 months, AIG said.”

We will see what happens, but it is clear that there could be major problems ahead. Just imagine $192 billion or even 20% of these contracts blowing up. We saw what $80 billion in bad bets did to the firm, drove it to bankruptcy and $180 billion had to be infused through the government. This has a lot of potential to do bad things to the firm and an already fragile market.

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150 Years

Posted by Ray on June 29, 2009 under Main | Be the First to Comment

Well, we were wrong he got the maximum. I hope he finds all of the same bliss in prison as he created over the last 40 years. Now, on to the idiots who brought down the system!

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Market Manipulation?

Posted by Ray on under Main | Be the First to Comment

We have thought for a long time that markets were being manipulated by the government since last fall. If you recall the market kept bouncing off of 8,000 last fall when they should have gone through that level very easily. We know the Fed is manipulating the bond market through quantitative easing, but this admission from a CNBC contributor is a classic slip. It is safe to assume this guy will NEVER be on CNBC again, period. Cheerleaders hate people telling the truth against our beloved Obama, it is a 2:22 in the video below. Thanks to ZeroHedge.com.


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